Friday, September 21, 2012

2012 Emmy Predictions

Tune in this Sunday, September 23rd for one of the most anticipated television events of the year. The 64th Annual Primetime Emmy awards, hosted by Jimmy Kimmel, will commence at 7 P.M., Eastern Time, and will be aired live on ABC. Will Mad Men five-peat? Will Giancarlo Esposito blow away (no pun intended) the competition? And will Modern Family continue to rule the roost among comedies, or will HBO's Girls pull off the big upset? Tune in to find out, but beforehand make sure to refresh yourself with the nominees and review my predictions for the winners in the major categories.

Starting up with the category that's probably going to be announced last, but they always keep the best for last...

Image Credit: AMC
Outstanding Drama Series Nominees:
  • Breaking Bad
  • Downtown Abbey
  • Game of Thrones
  • Homeland
  • Mad Men
  • Boardwalk Empire

And the winner is...Mad Men. Yes, Matthew Weiner and Co. at Sterling Cooper Draper Pryce will run away with its fifth consecutive Emmy win for Outstanding Drama Series (and set a Emmy record for consecutive wins), after a season filled with Roger's LSD trips, a moral journey for Don Draper, January Jones in a fat suit, Pete's desperate affair with Gilmore Girls' Alexis Bledel and that disgusting proposal that Joan prostitute herself, and of course, CHRISTINA HENDRICKS' BEST PERFORMANCE EVER. If any show wins other than Mad Men, it'll most likely be AMC's other critical darling, Breaking Bad. Unfortunately, Game of Thrones won't get much love (though it did the other day when it won six awards at the Creative Arts Emmys) since it's a fantastical drama, though down the road it may become a serious contender, since its here to stay. An upset from Homeland? Probably not, but don't be surprised if Showtime's breakout hit becomes the little engine that could.

Image Credit: AMC
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Drama Series Nominees: 
  • Bryan Cranston, Breaking Bad
  • Jon Hamm, Mad Men
  • Damian Lewis, Homeland
  • Michael C. Hall, Dexter
  • Hugh Bonneville, Downtown Abbey
  • Steve Buscemi, Boardwalk Empire

After a year off the ballot, the winner is...Bryan Cranston. Though I've only seen the first season of Breaking Bad, I've heard it only gets better and that Walter's progression from protagonist to antagonist has resulted in a darker, more addicting spectacle. Jon Hamm is very deserving as well, though he needs an equivalent to season four's "The Suitcase" in order to prevail over this year's tough competition. 

Image Credit: Showtime
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series Nominees:
  • Claire Danes, Homeland
  • Julianna Margulies, The Good Wife
  • Michelle Dockery, Downtown Abbey
  • Elisabeth Moss, Mad Men
  • Glenn Close, Damages
  • Kathy Bates, Harry's Law

The winner of this category has been a lock for a long time, even though there is a tremendous amount of a talent among these nominees. It would be awesome to watch Damages' Glenn Close win a third Emmy for her portrayal of what many consider the best female character in television, Patty Hewes, but it's doubtful to happen again. The real winner here is (drumroll, please)... Homeland's Clarie Danes for her obsessive and crazed performance as CIA agent Carrie Mathison, who's convinced that a seven year United States Prisoner of War (played by Damian Lewis) is really a terrorist. She also has bipolar disorder, which she must hide from the CIA. Ultimately, her performance went from crazy good to just insane in the final episodes of the first season, and viewers began rooting for her more and more. Now here comes the real test. Will she prevail? 

Image Credit: AMC
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Drama Series Nominees:
  • Brendan Coyle, Downtown Abbey
  • Peter Dinklage, Game of Thrones
  • Aaron Paul, Breaking Bad
  • Jared Harris, Mad Men
  • Jim Carter, Downtown Abbey
  • Giancarlo Esposito, Breaking Bad

And the winner is...Giancarlo Esposito. Aaron Paul and Peter Dinklage are the returning 2010 and 2011 winners, respectively, in this category, but they might get trounced by Walter White and Jessie Pinkman's stiffest adversary, Gus Fring. Peter Dinklage's heroic and troubled (this may be questioned, as how fans look at House Lannister) performance on season two of Game of Thrones may raise some serious competition, but there's another player here that could pull of an upset, and that is Jared Harris. Many have exhaled his arc on Mad Men this year, and his character's (SPOILER ALERT) demise was masterfully crafted and brilliantly acted. Depending on how much love Mad Men receives and likewise with Breaking Bad, it's possible this category can beget a variety of winners. But, my money's on Gus. Did you see how badass Giancarlo Esposito was in the pilot of Revolution

Image Credit: AMC
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Drama Series Nominees: 
  • Maggie Smith, Downtown Abbey
  • Christina Hendricks, Mad Men
  • Anna Gun, Breaking Bad
  • Joanne Froggatt, Downtown Abbey
  • Christine Baranski, The Good Wife
  • Archie Panjabi, The Good Wife

And the winner is....CHRISTINA HENDRICKS. Many of Mad Men's finest had stellar character arcs this season, and Hendricks' character's is arguably one of the best. Her on-screen chemistry with Jon Hamm is phenomenal, which contributed to "Christmas Waltz" and "The Other Woman" being two of Mad Men's best episodes, ever. Weiner's twisty path for Joan (comparison to a Jaguar?) was devastating, but regardless, we SCDP fans were rooting for Hendricks regardless. Even her tearful reaction, to the horrible climax of "Commissions and Fees," as she firmly believed herself to be the main contributor to ****'s suicide, was flawless. From the moment Joan Holloway welcomed Peggy Olson to the agency in "Smoke Gets in Your Eyes," and advised the new and insecure (at that time) secretary to "go home, take a paper bag and cut some eyeholes out of it, put it over your head, get undressed and look at yourself in the mirror; really evaluate where your strengths and weaknesses are, and be honest," we've been waiting for Hendricks' moment. And this is it.  

Image Credit: ABC
Outstanding Comedy Series Nominees: 
  • 30 Rock
  • The Big Bang Theory
  • Modern Family
  • Veep
  • Curb Your Enthusiasm
  • Girls

And the winner is...Modern Family. While many of these comedies have been around for a while, Modern Family is still in its prime and set to win its third Emmy in a row for Outstanding Comedy Series. Though, HBO's and critics' new favorite comedy Girls is armed and ready for an upset. Don't be shocked if Lena Dunham's breakthrough work sweeps the competition, but then again that might not happen until next year's Emmys. 

Image Credit: FX
Outstanding Lead Actor in a Comedy Series Nominees: 
  • Louis C.K., Louie
  • Alec Baldwin, 30 Rock
  • Jim Parsons, The Big Bang Theory
  • Jon Cryer, Two and a Half Men
  • Don Cheadle, House of Lies
  • Larry David, Curb Your Enthusiasm

And the winner is...Louis C.K. Lost's co-creator Damon Lindelof is obsessed with Louis C.K.'s talent, which has prompted this show to be added to my already extensive "to watch" list. This underrated comedian wholeheartedly deserves the award for his witty performance on FX's Louie. Baldwin, Parsons, and Cryer all have Emmy's in their back pockets, and Larry David's been around forever. Time for some new blood. 


Image Credit: HBO
Outstanding Lead Actress in a Comedy Series Nominees: 
  • Zooey Deschanel, New Girl
  • Tina Fey, 30 Rock
  • Julia Louis-Dreyfus, Veep
  • Amy Poehler, Parks and Recreation
  • Melissa McCarthy, Mike & Molly
  • Lena Dunham, Girls
  • Edie Falco, Nurse Jackie

And the winner is...Julia Louis-Dreyfus. She's been there before with Seinfeld, and her time on one of HBO's fresh comedies has gathered much buzz across the board. Although, many, especially those die-hard Parks and Recreation fans, believe Amy Poehler should win, they're right, and they should cross their fingers. You never Knope.  

Image Credit: FOX
Outstanding Supporting Actor in a Comedy Series Nominees: 
  • Ty Burrell, Modern Family
  • Jessie Tyler Ferguson, Modern Family
  • Ed O'Neill, Modern Family
  • Eric Stonestreet, Modern Family
  • Bill Hader, Saturday Night Live
  • Max Greenfield, New Girl

And, here's my upset of the night. The winner is New Girl's Max Greenfield. Prediction: all the votes for Modern Family's actors will be spread out, and Greenfield will inch through the competition. Once again, it's all about fresh blood, but I could be wrong. Ed O'Neill has been touted by critics as the shoe-in for this category, and Ty Burrell won last year. Could make for some interesting results. Money is still on Max.

Image Credit: CBS
Outstanding Supporting Actress in a Comedy Series Nominees: 
  • Sofia Vegara, Modern Family
  • Merritt Weaver, Nurse Jackie
  • Kristen Wiig, Saturday Night Live
  • Julie Bowen, Modern Family
  • Mayim Bialik, The Big Bang Theory
  • Kathryn Joosten, Desperate Housewives

And the winner isn't....Julie Bowen. It's Mayim Bialik, whose been lauded for her acting alongside Jim Parsons in The Big Bang Theory. Before the Emmy nomination predictions hit the airwaves and Internet this summer, I had not heard of Bialik, but my money's on her. Yes, Kristen Wiig definitely deserves an Emmy, but the odds are against her. If it's not Bialik, it will be Bowen. 

Other notes: 

American Horror Story will probably sweep in the Miniseries/Movie category, and hopefully Connie Britton will finally receive some recognition (aside from a nomination), especially since she was passed over for the Outstanding Lead Actress in a Drama Series last year. I'm rooting for Luther's Idris Elba in the Outstanding Lead Actor in a Miniseries/Movie category. If you haven't seen Luther, you must. Now. 

Enjoy the show!

No comments:

Post a Comment